Brent oil fades bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) level of September-October upside, drops back below 200-SMA amid bearish MACD signals during early Friday. The UK benchmark for oil currently eyes 50% Fibo. level of $81.55 on the way to retest the early November trough surrounding $80.80. However, any further downside will be challenged by oversold RSI conditions and the $80.00 round figure.
On the contrary, 200-SMA guards immediate upside around $83.50, a break of which will direct the oil prices towards the monthly peak of $86.00. In a case where the Brent bulls refrain to pause around $86.00, October’s high near $87.00 and June 2012 low near $88.50 should gain the market’s attention. To sum up, Brent oil prices are set for a corrective pullback but the overall bulls trend remains intact.