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Denis Sergienko • 2021-07-08

Eight-month-old support line test EURUSD bears on ECB day

Eight-month-old support line test EURUSD bears on ECB day

EURUSD bounces off an ascending support line from November 2020 amid oversold RSI during early Thursday. However, sellers remain hopeful as MACD keeps flashing bearish signals ahead of the ECB’s special meeting. The bloc’s central bank is widely expected to repeat support for easy money policies, likely extending the latest corrective pullback towards a two-week-old resistance line near 1.1870. However, any further recovery will be checked by the 200-day EMA surrounding 1.1930, as well as a four-month-long horizontal resistance near the 1.1990–2000 area.

Alternatively, any surprise moves, coupled with the further covid-led risk-off mood, could drag the quote below the key trend line support around 1.1780. The same will drag EURUSD prices to the yearly low near 1.1700 before highlighting the November 2020 low of 1.1602. It’s worth noting that the US dollar’s safe-haven allure is likely to keep the major currency pair pressured even if the counter-trend traders benefit on Thursday.

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