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Denis Sergienko • 2021-06-17

USDCHF bulls aim for 0.9115 confluence after Fed, SNB

USDCHF bulls aim for 0.9115 confluence after Fed, SNB

USDCHF extends Fed-led rally to the fresh high since May 06 even as the Swiss National Bank (SNB) reiterated status-quo during early Thursday. The pair seems to prepare bulls for the bi-annual SNB press conference while heading towards a convergence of 100-day SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement January-April upside. Given the upbeat RSI conditions, not oversold, the quote may battle the 0.9115 hurdle with a notable strength. However, a daily closing beyond the same becomes necessary to aim for another hurdle, near 0.9080, to the mid-March low of 0.9213.

Meanwhile, failures to cross the 0.9115 resistance could trigger a pullback towards the early month top close to 0.9050. Though, any further weakness will be questioned by the 0.9000 psychological magnet and a horizontal area comprising multiple levels since December 21, 2020, around 0.8930-20. In a case wherein the USDCHF prices drop below 0.8920, February lows near 0.8870 and January bottom close to 0.8835 could offer intermediate stops before dragging the pair to the yearly low of 0.8756.

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