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MTrading Team • 2024-06-26

AUDUSD bulls attack six-week-old resistance on strong Australian Inflation

AUDUSD bulls attack six-week-old resistance on strong Australian Inflation

AUDUSD jumps nearly 50 pips after Australia’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May rose the most in six months early Wednesday, up 4.0% YoY versus 3.8% expected and 3.6% prior. However, a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-May, close to 0.6680 by the press time, joins sluggish MACD signals and unimpressive RSI conditions to challenge the Aussie pair buyers. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.6680, a 5.5-month-long falling resistance line surrounding the 0.6710 and 0.6730 mark will be the final defenses of the bears before giving control to the bulls targeting the 0.6800 threshold and the late 2023 peak of 0.6870.

Conversely, the weekly low of near 0.6625 will challenge the AUDUSD sellers during the pair’s fresh fall. Following that, the 100 and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) might act as tough supports near 0.6590 while the monthly low of around 0.6575 acts as an additional downside filter. Should the quote remain bearish past 0.6575, the previous monthly low of 0.6465 and 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of October-December 2023 upside, near 0.6400, could lure the Aussie pair sellers.

Overall, the AUDUSD pair’s further upside appears difficult unless providing a daily closing beyond 0.6730.

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