A daily closing beneath a nine-month-old rising support line, now resistance around 0.6480, keeps the AUDUSD bears hopeful of witnessing further downside even as the oversold RSI conditions prod the immediate declines. That said, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6380, checks the bears while the last November’s bottom of around 0.6270 can challenge the Aussie pair’s downside afterward. In a case where the quote remains weak past 0.6270, the previously yearly low marked in October around 0.6170 will be in the spotlight.
On the contrary, AUDUSD recovery needs validation from the multi-day-old previous support line, close to 0.6480. Even so, the 10-DMA level surrounding 0.6515 can challenge the buyers before directing them to the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s successful trading beyond 0.6600 enables it to aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6670 ahead of targeting May’s peak of near 0.6820. Above all, AUDUSD stays on the bear’s radar unless crossing the double tops marked in July close to 0.6900.
Overall, AUDUSD is less likely to return to the buyer’s radar any time soon.
