AUDUSD stays on the way to posting a second consecutive weekly loss while reversing the post-FOMC rally. In doing so, the Aussie pair portrays a U-turn from an 11-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding 0.6640 amid a pullback in the RSI (14) line from overbought territory and a looming bear cross on the MACD. Also keeping the pair sellers hopeful is the clear downside break of the 200-SMA, close to 0.6545 at the latest. It’s worth noting, however, that an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, near 0.6510 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Following that, the yearly bottom surrounding 0.6440 and the previous yearly trough surrounding 0.6270 will lure the pair sellers.
Meanwhile, AUDUSD buyers remain off the grid below 0.6640 but an intermediate recovery can’t be ruled out if the quote manages to stay beyond the 200-SMA level of 0.6545. That said, the pair’s successful trading above 0.6640 allows it to cross the 0.6700 round figure while 0.6730 and 0.6780 could challenge the bulls afterward. In a case where the buyers keep the reins past 0.6780, the late 2023 swing high of near 0.6870 seems a welcome level for them.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to witness further downside but the room toward the south appears limited.
