EURUSD stays firmer for the fourth consecutive week as traders prepare for the key Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting on early Wednesday. The major currency pair’s latest run-up could be linked to a successful break of the 200-SMA. However, a 12-day-old ascending triangle can join the overbought RSI and a horizontal area comprising multiple hurdles marked since late January to challenge the Euro buyers between 1.0790 and 1.0805. In a case where the quote rises past 1.0805, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the February-March downturn, near 1.0835, may act as an extra check towards the north before highlighting the 1.0920-30 resistance zone comprising the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Meanwhile, EURUSD bears could stay off the table unless the quote remains above the stated triangle’s support line, around 1.0700 by the press time. Following that, the 1.0570 and 1.0530 levels may act as intermediate stops during the quote’s likely slump toward the monthly low near 1.0515. In a case where the Euro bears dominate past 1.0515, the YTD low marked in January around 1.0480 may act as the last defense of the buyers, a break of which might direct sellers to the November 2022 low surrounding 1.0290.
Overall, EURUSD buyers appear to run up out of steam on a crucial day but the bears need validation from 1.0700 and the Federal Reserve both.
