EURUSD stays defensive within a short-term bearish chart pattern after recovering from the Year-To-Date (YTD) low in the last two consecutive days. The corrective bounce also crossed a two-week-long falling resistance line and gains support from the bullish MACD signals, as well as the upbeat RSI (14) conditions, to suggest the Euro pair’s further advances. However, the top line of a downward-sloping trend channel established since August 30, close to 1.0575 by the press time, guards the immediate recovery of the pair. Following that, an 11-week-old descending resistance line and the 200-SMA, respectively near 1.0660 and 1.0700, will act as the final defense of the bears before giving control to the buyers.
Meanwhile, the resistance-turned-support line stretched from September 20, surrounding 1.0530, puts a floor beneath the EURUSD price for the short term. In a case where the Euro pair drops below 1.0530, the 1.0500 round figure and the yearly low marked on Tuesday around 1.0450 will test the bears. Also acting as a downside filter is the bottom line of the aforementioned bearish trend channel, close to 1.0420 at the latest. Should the major currency pair remain bearish past 1.0420, and also break the 1.0400 threshold, a gradual south-run toward the late November 2022 swing low of around 1.0220 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to witness further recovery but the bearish trend prevails unless the quote stays beneath 1.0700.