EURUSD extends recovery from the 200-DMA, as well as an upside break of a fortnight-old descending resistance line, as markets await the Eurozone inflation data and the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, namely the US Core PCE Price Index. That said, the looming bull cross on the MACD and upbeat RSI (14), not overbought, also keep the Euro buyers hopeful. However, a clear run-up beyond the previous support line stretched from October 2022, now resistance around 1.1040, becomes necessary to confirm the bullish trend. Following that, the yearly high of 1.1275, marked earlier in the month, will be in the spotlight.
On the contrary, the two-week-long resistance-turned-support of around 1.0880 restricts the immediate downside of the EURUSD pair ahead of the 200-DMA level of 1.0810. In a case where the Euro pair drops below 1.0810, and also breaks the 1.0800 round figure, sellers can aim for May’s bottom of 1.0635 before targeting the yearly low marked in January surrounding 1.0480. It’s worth noting that the downside moves need strongly disappointing Eurozone HICP and CPI numbers, as well as an extremely positive US Core PCE Price Index, to reverse the latest uptrend.
Overall, EURUSD remains in the recovery mode as the key Eurozone and the US data loom.