GBPUSD bounces off 100-SMA but bears stay hopeful
The GBPUSD saw its first daily gain in three days on Wednesday, bouncing back from the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This move shows the 100-SMA support level at 1.2682 is holding strong, and the descending RSI (14) indicates the downtrend is weak. However, the Pound Sterling’s continued dip below the 50-SMA and previous support level near 1.2785-2800, along with bearish MACD signals, keep sellers hopeful. If the price stays above 1.2800, the March peak around 1.2900 and the top of a 10-month-old upward trend channel near 1.3030 will be challenging for buyers.
On the other hand, the 100-SMA and 200-SMA are limiting the GBPUSD's short-term decline, with support around 1.2680 and 1.2650. After that, the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels from the pair's July-October 2023 drop, near 1.2590 and 1.2455, will be key for sellers. Overall, Pound Sterling buyers can stay in control as long as the 10-month-long upward trend channel, which ranges from 1.3030 to 1.2440, remains intact.
In summary, GBPUSD is expected to test the sellers, but for the bullish trend to continue, it needs to stay above 1.2800.
