GBPUSD holds onto the Brexit deal-inspired gains inside a one-month-old bullish chart formation called a falling wedge, following a sustained rebound from a fortnight-old descending trend line. Adding strength to the upside bias are the bullish MACD signals. However, nearly overbought RSI challenges the theoretical north-run targeting 1.2600. That said, the mid-February high and the previous monthly top, respectively around 1. 2270 and 1.2450, could test the buyers. It should be noted that the 100-SMA and aforementioned wedge’s confirmation points, respectively near 1.2060 and 1.12110, could challenge the immediate upside of the quote.
On the flip side, the 100-SMA and previous resistance line from February 14, close to 1.2060 and 1.2020 in that order, precede the 1.2000 psychological magnet to challenge the short-term pullback of the GBPUSD pair. It’s worth noting that the road past 1.2000 appears bumpy with multiple stops near 1.1940 and 1.1900. Also acting downside filters are the lows marked in January and during mid-November 2022, near 1.1840 and 1.1760 respectively.
Overall, GBPUSD is back on the bull’s radar as traders await UK PMI and BOE Governor Andrew Bailey’s speech.