GBPUSD managed to confuse pair sellers last week by defending a one-month-long falling wedge bullish chart pattern despite declining in the later days. Also challenging the Cable pair’s downside is a weeklong rising support line, as well as a nearly oversold RSI (14) line. It’s worth noting, however, that the MACD still flashes the bearish signals and hence the Pound Sterling buyers need to wait for a clear upside break of the stated wedge’s top line surrounding 1.2720, as well as the 200-SMA of near 1.2755, to retake control. That said, a horizontal support-turned-resistance stretched from early August, close to 1.2620, guards the pair’s immediate recovery whereas a clear break of 200-SMA will enable the quote to challenge the yearly top marked in July around 1.3145, with a likely pause in the run-up around the 1.3000 round figure.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the immediate one-week-old rising support line surrounding 1.2580 could convince GBPUSD bears to test the falling wedge bullish formation. In doing so, the quote will poke the wedge’s bottom line of around 1.2530. Should the Cable pair sellers dominate past 1.2530, the odds of witnessing a gradual downside toward May’s bottom near 1.2300 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, GBPUSD bears run out of steam but the recovery needs validation from 1.2755, as well as this week’s key data/events.
