GBPUSD remains on the way to posting a weekly loss after declining in the last four consecutive days, pressured around 1.2220 during early Friday. The Cable pair’s U-turn from the seven-week-old horizontal resistance area and the broadly firmer US Dollar join bearish MACD signals to underpin the downside bias. However, the cautious mood ahead of the key UK GDP and the US consumer sentiment details join a convergence of the 100-SMA, SMA and a fortnight-long rising trend line to challenge the pair bears around 1.2200-2190. In a case where the Pound Sterling drops below 1.2190, the monthly low of around 1.2095 and the late October bottom surrounding 1.2070 could lure the bears before probing them with the previous monthly trough near 1.2035 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet.
On the flip side, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the GBPUSD pair’s September-October downside, respectively near 1.2300 and 1.2355, guard near-term recovery. Following that, the aforementioned horizontal resistance surrounding 1.2425-30 will be a tough nut to crack for the Pound buyers. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s ability to stay firmer past 1.2430 enables the bulls to challenge the late September swing high of around 1.2550.
Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains on the bear’s radar unless it stays below 1.2430. Hence, any data-driven rebound will be elusive below the stated upside hurdle and needs to be traded with caution.