GBPUSD holds a confirmed place in the bear’s radar after breaking an important support line from mid-November, as well as the 200-DMA, as traders await the UK data dump and the US jobs report. That said, a daily closing below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the Cable pair’s upside from November 2022 to January 2023, near 1.1795, becomes necessary to witness the quote’s further declines amid the nearly oversold RSI and downbeat MACD signals. In that case, the late October 2022 swing high and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, around 1.1645-40, may lure the pair sellers. Should the quote remains bearish past 1.1640, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.1422 and the November 09 bottom of around 1.1330 might act as intermediate halts before directing it to the late 2022 low of 1.1144.
On the contrary, GBPUSD recovery may initially aim for the 200-DMA level of around 1.1910 ahead of challenging the 1.1950 support-turned-resistance comprising the previous support line from November 17 and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Following that, the 1.2000 psychological magnet and a downward-sloping resistance line from late January, near 1.2090, will be in focus. It’s worth observing that the Cable pair’s successful trading beyond 1.2090, as well as crossing the 1.2100 threshold, could help the bulls to retake control.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to decline further unless crossing the 1.2100 hurdle.