GBPUSD regains upside momentum, after posting the first weekly loss in three, as buyers defend the previous week’s reversal from the 20-SMA to poke a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from early March, close to 1.2560 at the latest. The Cable pair’s recovery also takes clues from the bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI conditions, not overbought. With this, the Pound Sterling is likely to cross the immediate upside hurdle and aim for the 100-SMA resistance of 1.2633. Following that, the 1.2700 threshold and late March’s swing high near 1.2800 could test the buyers before directing them to the yearly top surrounding 1.2895.
Meanwhile, the quote’s pullback needs validation from the 20-SMA support of 1.2495 to convince sellers. Even so, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci ratios of the Cable pair’s run-up from October 2023 to March 2024, respectively near 1.2460 and 1.2365, will challenge the bears. It’s worth noting that the yearly bottom marked in April, close to 1.2300, appears the last defense of the GBPUSD buyers, a break of which will open doors for the pair’s gradual fall toward the late 2023 swing low of near 1.2030 and then to the 1.2000 psychological magnet.
Overall, GBPUSD remains on the front foot despite last week’s failure to cross the aforementioned resistance line. However, the technical formation also needs support from the UK employment report and the US inflation clues to convince the bulls.
