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MTrading Team • 2023-11-02

GBPUSD rebound approaches key upside hurdle on BoE Day

GBPUSD rebound approaches key upside hurdle on BoE Day

GBPUSD picks up bids to extend the previous day’s rebound from an eight-month-old ascending support line as the Cable traders await the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decision on Thursday. While recovering from the stated support line, the Pound Sterling respects the upward-sloping RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggests the quote’s further upside. However, a falling resistance line from mid-July, close to 1.2220 by the press time, guards the immediate upside of the pair. It’s worth noting that a clear upside break of 1.2220 will allow the bulls to challenge the previous monthly high of around 1.2340 but a convergence of the 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently near 1.2400, will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers afterward.

On the contrary, the GBPUSD pullback needs validation from the aforementioned support line and 78.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, close to 1.2080. Following that, October’s bottom of around 1.2035 and the 1.2000 threshold will test the Cable bears before giving them control. In that case, the yearly low marked in March around 1.1800 will be in the spotlight.

To sum up, a GBPUSD rebound appears imminent but the BoE’s likely dovish halt and stated EMA confluence prod the bullish bias.

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