GBP/USD remains flat at its lowest level in three weeks, ending a two-day losing streak. As traders await crucial economic data from the UK and the US, the Pound Sterling is testing a resistance level from late December 2023, which is now providing immediate support.
Despite a long-standing resistance-turned-support line and upcoming data challenges, recent technical signals suggest further declines. Monday’s close below the 20-day moving average (SMA) and bearish MACD signals indicate potential further downside. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is not yet oversold, keeping sellers hopeful.
Firstly, the resistance-turned-support line surrounding 1.3050 restricts the GBPUSD pair’s immediate downside. Following that, the quote’s quick decline to the 1.3000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. However, March’s peak of around 1.2890 and the 1.2800 round figure will precede the 200-SMA level of 1.2720 to challenge the Cable bears afterward.
For buyers, a positive shift in UK data and a daily close above the 20-SMA at 1.3090 are needed to consider entering. Even so, a slew of resistances near 1.3150 and 1.3180 could test the pair’s following advances ahead of directing the bulls toward the recent peak surrounding 1.3265 and then to the 1.3300 threshold.
Overall, the GBP/USD may see further declines if the economic data from the UK remains weak and US inflation data improves, unless the upcoming reports provide an unexpected boost.