A daily closing beneath the 1.2720 support confluence, now resistance, teases the GBPUSD bears as Bank of England (BoE) policymakers brace for another interest rate hike. Apart from a sustained break of the 50-DMA and five-month-old rising trend line, bearish MACD signals and the descending RSI line, not oversold, also keeps the Cable sellers hopeful of revisiting the 100-DMA support of around 1.2570. However, the quote’s further downside past 1.2570 will make the Pound Sterling vulnerable enough to slump toward May’s bottom surrounding the 1.2300 round figure. Though, the early April swing high of near 1.2550 and the 1.2500 threshold can test the downside moves.
On the contrary, a dovish hike or a surprise pause in the hawkish cycle could trigger a U-turn and fetch the GBPUSD pair back above the 1.2720 support-turned-resistance confluence comprising the 50-DMA and a multi-day-old ascending trend line. Following that, June’s high of near 1.2850 and the late July peak close to the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be on the Cable buyer’s radar. Should the Pound Sterling remains firmer past 1.3000, the odds of witnessing a fresh yearly high, currently around 1.3145, can’t be ruled out.
