Although June 1989’s low test EUR/USD bears, a clear downside break of the 2.5-month-old support line, now resistance around 0.9850, keeps sellers hopeful at the lowest levels in 20 years. Even so, the major currency pair stays inside a bearish channel formation established on May 12 and has its support line located around 0.9490 by the press time. Additionally, the January 2001 low of around 0.9600 could join the oversold RSI conditions to challenge the short-term downside.
Meanwhile, recovery remains elusive until the quote stays successfully beyond the 10-week-old support-turned-resistance line around 0.9850. Following that, the 0.9950 and the 1.000 parity level could entertain short-term buyers. However, a convergence of the 50-DMA and upper line of the stated channel, close to 1.0080, appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD bulls before they can dream of retaking control.
It’s worth noting that the Italian elections and multiple speeches from ECB President Christine Lagarde, as well as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, make it an interesting pair to watch on Friday.