US inflation allowed EURUSD to extend the three-day uptrend towards refreshing the monthly peak, by also piercing a downward sloping resistance line from late March. However, a horizontal area comprising the 50-DMA and lows marked during May and June, around 1.0345-60, appeared a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Hence, a daily closing beyond 1.0360 becomes necessary for the pair to remain firmer. Following that, a run-up towards the 100-DMA and the late June swing high, respectively near 1.0540 and 1.0620, seems imminent.
Alternatively, pullback moves remain unimpressive beyond late July’s peak surrounding 1.0275-80. Also acting as a downside filter is an ascending support line from July 14, close to 1.0180. In a case where EURUSD remains bearish past 1.0180, the south-run could extend towards 1.0100 and the 1.0000 parity level before challenging the yearly low near 0.9950.
That said, EURUSD buyers have higher odds of return as the technical breakout gains support from the MACD and RSI, not to forget the softer US CPI. However, the confirmation is pending and much needed.