EURUSD again bounces off the monthly low as sellers flirt with a horizontal area surrounding multiple levels marked since April. That being said, RSI and MACD back the major currency pair’s mid-week retreat, which in turn hints at the break of the immediate support zone near 1.0490-80. The following downturn could aim for the yearly low close to 1.0350 before allowing a chance for the bears to breathe. In a case where the quote fails to rebound from 1.0350, the odds of witnessing an extended south-run towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late March-May move, around 1.0265, will be in focus.
On the contrary, a 21-DMA and 50-DMA confluence of 1.0610 appears to be a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Even if the EURUSD rises past 1.0610, a downward sloping resistance line from March, close to 1.0620, could act as an extra filter to the north before giving control to the bulls. Following that, a run-up towards the monthly high of 1.0773 can’t be ruled out. However, May’s peak near 1.0785 could challenge the pair’s upside moves afterward.
Overall, EURUSD has more downside scope than the otherwise but the US dollar’s dormancy probes bears.