Although the weekly channel restricts EURUSD moves while other major currency pairs portray heavy selling against the USD, the bearish flag formation joins downbeat MACD and RSI signals to keep sellers hopeful. Additionally favoring the pair bears is the sustained trading below a descending trend line from March, as well as the 200-SMA and a six-week-old horizontal resistance. However, the south-run needs a trigger and 1.0500 is the same to activate a theoretical slump targeting the 1.0000 psychological magnet. Though, lows marked during 2017 and mid-1999, respectively around 1.0340 and 1.0100, may act as intermediate halts during the anticipated fall.
Alternatively, the upper line of mentioned flag, around 1.0650, acts as an immediate upside barrier during the corrective pullback. Following that, the previously stated descending resistance line and the 200-SMA, near 1.0730 and 1.0810 in that order, will act as additional barriers for the EURUSD bulls. It’s worth noting that the pair bears remain hopeful until the quote rallies beyond the multi-day-old horizontal hurdle surrounding 1.0950.
To sum up, the EURUSD pair’s hesitance in declining isn’t an early sign of recovery in prices.