GBPUSD retreats from the 11-week-old descending trend line as the traders await the first readings of the Q2 2022 UK GDP. In addition to the trend line hurdle, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the March-July downside, near 1.2345, guards the pair’s immediate upside. Following that, the 100-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.2435 will be in focus. In a case where the quote remains strong past 1.2435, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards May’s peak of 1.2665 can’t be ruled out.
On the contrary, GBPUSD sellers can aim for the 21-DMA support near 1.2075 during further weakness. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s downside beneath 1.2075 will have the two-month-old resistance-turned-support line, around 1.1955, as the last defense for buyers. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.1955, the odds of its south-run towards the yearly low near 1.1860 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, GBPUSD bulls are in the driver’s seat ahead of the key UK GDP data. It should be observed that the British economy is likely to witness recession and hence positive surprise will be welcomed with zeal considering the pre-data bullish bias.