GBPUSD bulls approach the key resistance line, stretched from mid-June, ahead of the UK’s employment numbers. The cable pair’s upside momentum takes clues from its successful trading beyond the 100-DMA, as well as the bullish MACD signals. However, nearly overbought RSI conditions could restrict further advances near an aforementioned resistance line, around 1.2030 at the latest. Even if the quote manages to cross the 1.2030 upside barrier, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s June-September downside and the 200-DMA could challenge the run-up respectively near 1.2170 and 1.2255. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2255, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the mid-2022 peak of 1.2666 can’t be ruled out.
Alternatively, a daily closing below the 100-DMA level surrounding 1.1655 needs validation from the previous monthly top, close to 1.1645, to recall the GBPUSD bears. Even so, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.1500 appears strong support for the sellers to crack before eyeing a convergence of the monthly ascending trend line and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, near the 1.1230-25 area. Should the pair remains bearish past 1.1230, the previous monthly low near 1.0920 will gain the market’s attention.
Overall, GBPUSD buyers are likely to keep the reins but the upside room appears limited.