Technical Analysis: Monthly rising channel favors Brent oil buyers despite recent inaction
Brent oil prices grind higher around late March tops, staying above 10-DMA inside a monthly bullish channel formation. Given the firmer RSI backing the black gold’s gradual north-run, the quote is likely to overcome the immediate hurdle, namely the late March swing high around $124.40. However, the stated channel’s upper line near $127.50, which if ignored could propel the energy benchmark towards the yearly high marked in March at around $140.50. During the run-up, then likely overbought RSI may interrupt the upside momentum around $130.00 and the $135.00 intermediate halts.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may remain elusive until staying beyond the 10-DMA level surrounding $119.60. Following that, the support line of the bullish channel, close to $117.00 by the press time, will be crucial to watch. In a case where Brent oil sellers manage to conquer the $117.00 support and reject the bullish formation, there are multiple supports around $115.50 and $115.000 before directing the quote towards May’s low near $101.90.
Overall, oil prices remain firmer inside a bullish chart pattern and are likely to rise further. However, the upside momentum will be shaky and hence needs the trader’s discretion.