USDJPY remains pressured around a two-week low, despite the latest rebound from 127.50, after the yen pair slipped beneath an upward sloping support line from March-end. The south-run recently broke 100-SMA and is well on the way to the 127.00-126.90 zone comprising 200-SMA and multiple levels marked in a month. It’s worth noting that the pair’s downside past 126.90 may wait for the RSI to turn normal, currently oversold, if not then the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of late March to early May run-up, near 125.00 should return to the charts.
Meanwhile, recovery moves need validation from the 129.40 level comprising the 100-SMA and April 20 swing high. Following that, the previous support line and the monthly peak, respectively around 130.50 and 131.35, could lure USDJPY bulls. In a case where the yen pair successfully rises past 131.35, buyers are entitled to challenge the year 2002 high surrounding 135.20.
Overall, USDJPY bulls have been tired of late and the latest breakdown triggers the required bearish signal.