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MTrading Team • 2024-02-20

USDCAD picks up bids within rising wedge ahead of Canada inflation

USDCAD picks up bids within rising wedge ahead of Canada inflation

USDCAD prints a three-day winning streak despite mildly bid Oil price, bracing for the monthly Canada inflation numbers within a seven-week-old rising wedge bearish chart formation. In doing so, the Loonie pair extends last week’s rebound from a 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) backed by the price-positive RSI conditions and a looming bull cross on the MACD. With this, the quote is likely to extend the latest run-up toward a month-long horizontal resistance surrounding 1.3535-40. Following that, the stated wedge’s top line, close to the 1.3600 threshold, will be in the spotlight. In a case where the pair price remains firmer past 1.3600, it defies the bearish chart pattern and enables the buyers to aim for the late 2023 highs.

Meanwhile, a convergence of the 200-EMA and the aforementioned rising wedge’s lower line, near 1.3465 by the press time, puts a floor under the USDCAD price. Should the quote break the stated key support, it confirms the bearish chart formation and highlights a theoretical target of 1.3050. However, lows marked during late January and December, around 1.3360 and 1.3180 respectively, could test the Loonie pair bears during the fall past 1.3465. Additionally acting as a downside filter is the 1.3000 psychological magnet.

Overall, the USDCAD is likely to extend its recent run-up within a bearish chart formation unless today’s Canada data and the latest increase in Oil price, Canada’s key export, propel the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

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