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MTrading Team • 2024-03-04

USDCHF extends pullback from 15-week high as the key week begins

USDCHF extends pullback from 15-week high as the key week begins

USDCHF stays pressured toward 0.8800 early Monday as traders await the key Swiss inflation data, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February, as well as this week’s Testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and US employment report for the last month. In doing so, the Swiss Franc pair extends the previous day’s retreat from the highest level since mid-November while reporting a failure to cross a horizontal region comprising multiple levels marked since October 19 and the 200-SMA. Given the bearish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI conditions, the latest pullback is likely to extend, which in turn highlights the 0.8770-65 support zone encompassing the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late December. Should the quote manage to break the 0.8765 support, January’s peak of 0.8728 will act as the final defense of the buyers.

Meanwhile, the USDCHF pair’s recovery needs validation from the firmer Swiss inflation data and the 200-SMA, close to 0.8835 at the latest. Even so, the aforementioned multi-day-old horizontal area near 0.8885-8910 will be a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers before retaking control. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained trading beyond 0.8910, backed by Fed Chair Powell’s dovish tone and downbeat US jobs report, could help the quote cross the 0.9000 psychological magnet to aim for the November 2023 peak surrounding 0.9110.

Overall, USDCHF is likely to extend the latest retreat but the pair’s downside appears to have a little room towards the south.

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