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MTrading Team • 2024-06-10

USDJPY approaches key upside hurdle as Fed, BoJ week begins

USDJPY approaches key upside hurdle as Fed, BoJ week begins

USDJPY extends Friday’s recovery from the 50-SMA while rising toward a six-week-old descending resistance ahead. This week comprising monetary policy announcements from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) begins with mixed sentiment. It’s worth noting that the Yen pair’s sustained trading above the 50-SMA joins the upbeat RSI (14) and an impending bull cross on the MACD to underpin upside bias. However, a clear break of the aforementioned resistance line close to 157.55 by the press time, becomes necessary to convince buyers. Following that, 158.00, 158.40, and the 160.00 round figure will test the buyers. In a case where the bulls keep the reins past 160.00, the year 1990’s peak of 160.40 will be the final defense of the bears.

Meanwhile, the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of the USDJPY pair’s December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near 155.50, will precede the 50-SMA support of 155.10 and the 155.00 round figure to limit the short-term downside. Should the quote remain bearish past 155.50, an upward-sloping support line from late March, around 153.25 at the latest, will be the key support to watch. It should be observed that a daily close beneath 153.25, as well as a sustained trading beneath the 153.00 threshold, will make the Yen pair vulnerable enough to slump toward the multiple tops marked during late March and early April, near the sub-152.00 region.

Overall, the USDJPY remains in the bullish mode as the key week begins.

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