USDJPY has been navigating inside the 300-pip trading range at a 24-year high in the last three weeks. Despite the yen pair’s latest inaction, the lower low on prices joins the lower bottom on the RSI (14), which in turn joins firmer MACD to keep the buyers hopeful. However, a clear upside break of 144.75, comprising the 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s late March to early August moves, becomes necessary to poke a five-month-old ascending trend line resistance near 147.00. During the rise, the latest swing top around 146.00 could probe the buyers while a successful rise beyond the 147.00 hurdle might flash the 150.00 threshold on the chart.
Alternatively, the 21-DMA support around 142.60 may act as an immediate halt during the USDJPY pair’s pullback before highlighting the stated range’s bottom, including the 61.8% FE level near 141.60. In a case where the pair drops below 141.60, the 140.00 round figure and July’s high near 139.40 could lure the bears. It should be noted that the sustained downtrend past 139.40 could drag prices towards the 100-DMA support of 135.70.
Overall, USDJPY remains on the buyer’s radar but needs a trigger to activate the next leg to the north.