Be it an ascending triangle or a pullback from 200-SMA, EURUSD bears flex muscles as markets await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for July. That said, the bearish triangle confirmation looms on the clear downside break of 1.0160, which in turn could direct the pair towards the yearly low near 0.9950. However, the 1.0090 and the 1.0000 parity level could offer intermediate halts during the fall. In a case where the pair sellers dominate below the 0.9950 trough level, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late June-July moves, near 0.9870 might join the likely oversold RSI conditions to hinder further downside.
On the contrary, the 200-SMA and upper line of the monthly triangle offer a tough nut to crack for EURUSD buyers at around 1.0280. Following that, a run-up towards a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-June, near 1.0358-65, could challenge the upside momentum. It’s worth noting, however, that the pair’s successful rise beyond 1.0365 could enable the bulls to aim for June’s high of 1.0588.
Overall, EURUSD stays inside a bearish set-up with an absence of oversold RSI and bearish MACD signals amplifying the odds of the quote’s downside. However, it all depends upon how well the US employment data for July arrives. A negative surprise won’t hesitate to pamper bulls.